The Texans (5-1) have the second-best record in the AFC and certainly looked the part in last week’s 41-21 throttling of the New England Patriots. Both the offense and the defense rank in the top six overall, yet the team’s points differential is plus-eight, and four of their wins have been by six points or fewer.

On Sunday, Oct. 20 (kicking off at 1 p.m. ET), the Green Bay Packers (4-2) play the Houston Texans (5-1) at Lambeau Field and are expected to prevail but by less than a TD, 27-20 (based on our