Morningstar

In 2024, prediction markets called the presidential election before the polls could. Now, they're mostly betting on sports.

About 90% of Kalshi's volume has come from sports contracts in recent months. In late 2024, prediction markets seemed poised to take over the world. Thanks to a big win in a court case against the ...
Undark Magazine

Prediction Markets Aren’t Likely to Replace Polling

Some analysts think the markets could out-compete polls in newsrooms and more, but the approaches are vastly different.

Opinion - Special interests are moving into prediction markets, and it’s a problem

Institutional hedges move prices. Campaigns read those prices as momentum. Journalists cite them as forecasts. Donors ...

Can Democrats flip the Senate? What prediction markets say six months out

Republicans hold a 53-47 Senate majority, meaning Democrats need a net gain of four seats to reach 51 and take control.

The Rise Of Prediction Markets In The USA

Prediction markets have become a common household topic, from appearing on CNN during its news coverage to being viewed by ...

How are prediction markets like Polymarket more accurate than Wall Street analysts?

Prediction markets like Polymarket are more accurate than Wall Street analysts in forecasting corporate earnings, but it's ...
MarketWatch

In 2024, prediction markets called the presidential election before the polls could. Now, they’re mostly betting on sports.

In late 2024, prediction markets seemed poised to take over the world. Thanks to a big win in a court case against the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, prediction-market company Kalshi was able ...