*** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1 Column 2 presents the results of the same equation but applied to 2026 alone—the results are broadly similar. As Figure 2 indicates, this equation tracks recent ...

Physicist and nuclear weapons expert David Albright says the claim that Iran emerged stronger from the war is simply bunk.

It’s totally understandable that anyone who supports an economic system built around the idea of free enterprise—private businesses making decisions based on price and profit signals in a competitive ...

• The share of appraisal waivers for both GSEs combined for March 2026 stood at 28%, up from last month and down 21 ppts. from the series’ peak in March 2021. • The recent rise in waiver usage is ...

Competition involving the Gulf states and Turkey in the Horn of Africa is exacerbating preexisting African conflicts and risking a regional proxy war on both sides of the Red Sea. A new era of ...

The international committee responsible for the official scenarios that feed into climate modeling that are the basis for most projective climate research and the assessments of the Intergovernmental ...

The US Department of Education published its final supplemental priority on “Advancing Artificial Intelligence in Education,” establishing a framework that will shape how federal discretionary grant ...

Two months ago, in November 2025, President Trump directed the US Department of Justice to investigate allegations of price-fixing and collusion in the US meatpacking industry. In a Truth Social post, ...

The China economy field is full of people repeating the government’s numbers and “analyzing” them. If that’s sufficient, China watchers can just project a gradual fall from 5 percent GDP growth ...

In some quarters of K–12 education, perhaps most, the increased focus on social and emotional learning (SEL) is viewed as an unambiguously positive development—a welcome course correction after more ...

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman believes we are on the cusp of an “intelligence age” that will bring unprecedented prosperity and capabilities to humanity. Getting here didn’t happen overnight, though the next ...

The annual United States homeless population estimates for 2024 were released last week. Homelessness grew by a record 18% annually in 2024, following a then record 12% increase in 2023. As shown in ...